Vancouver Island Real Estate Board’s Market Update

Long-Running Sellers’ Market Moving Towards Balanced Conditions

 

NANAIMO, BC – October 1, 2018

Sales of single-family homes in September dropped by 32 per cent from one year ago and 25 per
cent from August 2018.

Last month, 348 single-family homes sold on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System compared to 467 in
August and 511 one year ago. The number of apartments and townhouses changing hands last month dropped by
26 per cent and 41 per cent year over year, respectively.

Inventory of single-family homes in September rose slightly, up four per cent from last year. Active listings of
apartments dipped by six per cent year over year while townhouse inventory posted a modest increase, up by
three per cent over September 2017.

“We attribute the weaker sales throughout British Columbia to a decrease in demand rather than oversupply,”
says Cameron Muir, Chief Economist, British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA). “The mortgage stress test
and higher interest rates are taking their toll on housing sales throughout the country.”

On the positive side, the provincial economy is still doing well, and BCREA anticipates that housing sales will make
a modest recovery during the next couple of quarters, albeit not to the levels seen in 2016 and 2017. Further,
Vancouver Island is somewhat immune to the effects of Guideline B-20 because the broad demographic trend
continues to include baby boomers and retirees who typically do not need mortgages.

That said, VIREB’s long-term sellers’ market appears to be moving towards more balanced conditions, says Don
McClintock, 2018 VIREB President.

“Multiple offers have certainly slowed, and buyers are taking more of a wait-and-see approach, which is a good
thing,” says McClintock. “Sellers need to be realistic when listing their home, which is why it’s important to consult
with a local REALTOR® who can help determine the optimal price for your property.”

Regarding prices, the Home Price Index (HPI) recorded modest price reductions month over month for singlefamily
homes in Campbell River and the Comox Valley, but year over year, prices continue to rise board-wide.
The benchmark price of a single-family home for the overall board area hit $508,800 in September, a 12 per cent
increase from one year ago. (Benchmark pricing tracks the value of a typical home in the reported area.) In the
apartment category, the benchmark price climbed to $319,600, up 18 per cent from September 2017. The
benchmark price of a townhouse hit $414,300 last month, up 14 per cent over last year.

Last month, the benchmark price of a single-family home in the Campbell River area rose to $402,700, an increase
of 12 per cent over September 2017. In the Comox Valley, the benchmark price reached $495,700, up nine per
cent from last year. Duncan reported a benchmark price of $470,400, up 11 per cent from September 2017.
Nanaimo’s benchmark price rose 10 per cent to $554,000 while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark
price increase by 11 per cent to $575,100. The cost of a benchmark home in Port Alberni reached $303,900, up 19
per cent from one year ago.